Friday, June 8, 2012

The Art of Elections Forecasting

A major part of education is understanding basic forecasting, how to judge when an extrapolation looks reasonable, when to expect correlation v. causation issues, etc. Moreover, in this case, anyone reading Fivethirtyeight is likely already pretty educated, so this isn't really being aimed at the people with no knowledge.

politicians that have been elected so far are against the idea of educating people as this will destroy the system as exist today and they will have to get real jobs

Most people, even politicians, aren't so evil that they would deliberately try to destroy the educational system. Moreover, most people don't have the foresight to do that. Part of the prob

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